A private record of conviction, tested in public.
I write the research before I buy, and the letter before I forget why. This site is my own capital allocation ledger — the holdings, the reasoning, and the quarterly account of what changed and why.
Strong businesses. Overpriced fear.
I look for companies with strong fundamentals trading below fair value because the market has overpriced a specific risk — the opportunity for market-beating returns shows up through earnings growth and multiple expansion once that risk fails to materialize. Most investors are reactive and emotional; that's not a flaw in the market, it's the opportunity it keeps handing to everyone else.
Read the Full PhilosophyI look for strong businesses where the market has overpriced a specific, nameable risk — not simply whatever looks statistically cheap.
A name doesn't need to be down 50% to earn a place in the portfolio — trading below fair value is enough to start a position.
The first letter is next quarter's job.
No letters published yet — this section fills in at the close of the current quarter. Every position above already has the reasoning behind it in the research.
Quarterly Updates